I’ve never liveblogged before in my life, but hey, we have to try new things don’t we? I’ve currently got BBC London 94.9 on audio, and ITV London Tonight on video, with a variety of election web sources on refresh.

18:29

Paddick on BBC London 94.9 has just confirmed his second preference went to the Left List. A surprise, and an ultimately pointless gesture, but interesting all the same.

18:38

Bit of a news catch-up:
Again on BBC London 94.9, Peter Kellner, head honcho of YouGov, has also called the election for Boris, and will resign if he’s wrong. He’s predicted a 55/45 split between Boris and Ken after 2nd preferences.

The BNP are reported to be doing well in the ExCeL count, taking fourth place ahead of the Greens in the assembly list vote in three of the constituencies being counted there. Barnbrook is also doing well in the mayoral ballot there. Of course the BNP are never happy, and are currently claiming the ballots were tampered with and that if they don’t hit 5% in the list vote they will take legal action, going to the High Court if necessary.

18:54

Boris is currently leading on first preferences in 8 constituencies; Ken in 6. This is a marginal improvement on the earlier 9 to 5, but nothing to get excited about. Boris-preferring constituencies do seem to have higher turnouts as well.

19:10

The time estimated for the announcement of the result has been bouncing about all day. The latest I’ve heard is now midnight, apparently from Nick Robinson of the BBC. Who has heard insiders at both Labour and Conservative HQ saying they’re sure Boris will win. Did I mention it’s not looking too good?

19:39

It’s all gone a bit quiet. Apparently some constituencies are nearly finished (e.g. City and East is past 90%) so we might get some assembly results soon.

20:08

The Evening Standard has called the election for Boris. However they’ve said that his rivals have conceded, which isn’t true just yet - Brian said it looked like Boris was ahead last I heard (and certainly didn’t think that he had a chance any more), while Ken’s been pretty quiet all day to my knowledge, with official Labour spokespeople waiting for the result before saying any more. No idea what’s going on behind the scenes of course.

20:13

As I mentioned earlier, a couple of constituencies are nearly ready to announce their assembly seat results: City and East, and Enfield and Haringey. Labour won these last time. We can’t get the mayoral result or the list assembly members result until every single vote is counted of course. Apparently Barnet and Camden had some computer problems this morning, so they’re currently holding everything else up.

20:21

Sian Berry, Green mayoral candidate is being interviewed on BBC London 94.9 as I type. She is confident they’ve held on to their two assembly seats but there’s no longer any mention of gaining seats, and is also unsure whether or not the BNP will get seats. Kellner of YouGov thinks it’s touch and go whether the Greens keep seats or not, but it sounds like this is speculation as the list calculations are ‘fiendishly complicated’ (Berry). She hopes the assembly will scrutinise the mayor more now and encourage take-up of green policies. She doesn’t think she’d work with Boris in his administration as she knows too many environmentalists who’ve had their ‘fingers burned’ by Conservatives asking their advice then quietly chucking it out. They could at least recycle it…

20:36

Just received the following from a Boris-stopper about what happened when they went to vote yesterday:

The polling station should’ve been at Lewisham station, but was relocated overnight to the Lewisham Centre and no signs were there to tell people where to vote! No-one could find the new venue…

First I’ve heard of this. I doubt any of this will make a difference to the overall result, but there seem to have been far more administrative cock-ups than usual in this election, with BBC London (TV) reporting that some people had found polling clerks writing their ID numbers on their ballot papers and therefore voiding their votes. All very worrying.

20:42

Speaking of election irregularities… A Labour party member has just reported on BBC London 94.9 that she’s seen over 200 Lambeth votes spoiled because the polling clerk has written voters’ ID numbers on the ballots. She says votes for all parties were affected and that she’s never seen spoiled votes on such a scale. Again I’m certainly not saying these votes would’ve made a difference overall but it is deeply worrying that there appears to have been widespread misinterpretation of the voting procedures.

20:48

The Conservative party has taken Bexley and Bromley’s assembly seat - not a surprise as it was Tory before as well, so it doesn’t tell us much. Boris v Ken numbers for them should be available soon.

20:53

Labour has narrowly taken Brent and Harrow. This was Conservative before.

21:02

Full Bexley and Bromley results from London Elects.

Bit of light relief from the Guardian liveblog:

“Are you saying that a performing monkey in a Conservative rosette could have won this race?” asks the Beeb [when interviewing Steve Norris]? Are you saying one hasn’t?

21:10

They’re coming thick and fast now. Apparently Labour has comfortably held the North East constituency (a doubling of majority according to the winning candidate but I doubt that takes increased turnout into account). It was Labour by a fair bit last time too. Dunno what’s happened to City and East which has been 99% ready for about an hour!

21:25

City and East has remained Labour. Not sure what the Beeb is up to - no results at all on their site, unless I’m looking in the wrong place.

21:32

Havering and Redbridge has stayed Conservative with an increased majority, apparently mainly with votes previously given to smaller parties. If this is repeated in the Mayoral vote, Boris will romp home. And we know he’s good at romping. (sorry, cheap joke, I’m getting tired).

21:40

Enfield and Haringey held by Labour, but with a fairly small majority over the Conservatives.

Doug (in comments): thanks for confirming it’s not just me who can’t see any updates on the BBC site. London Elects seems to still only have the Bexley and Bromley result to boot.

Will: I feel your pain.

1st pref mayoral votes are finally coming in: Bexley and Bromley has gone for Boris; City and East and North East have gone for Ken. No surprises there really. Sorry, I didn’t type quickly enough to get the numbers down!

21:53

Brent and Harrow has gone slightly for Ken too - not surprising given the assembly result.

Current numbers from the Guardian liveblog:

Boris Johnson: 378,239 votes
Ken Livingstone: 343,770 votes.

And the majority of constituencies so far have been pro-Ken, I think. Oh dear.

22:06

London Elects has finally put some more results online, and the BBC had one last time I looked.

22:15

Aha! guardian.co.uk is posting assembly results as they get them, and seem to be quicker at data entry than both London Elects and the Beeb.

Dave Hill points out that if the Conservatives only get 8 Assembly Members (it looks more likely they’ll have 9, but 8 is possible), Boris will have to get co-operation with another party to get his budget through. Who would that be? Lib Dems seem most likely, he concludes.

22:23

What on earth’s happening on the London Elects site? Some results that were up a minute ago seem to have gone again. I’m assuming this is due to a technical cockup rather than inaccuracy in figures. Sorry, this is rather boring, I’ll try and stop complaining about the display of results on other websites!

James (in comments): We’re not completely certain Boris has won; it’s just extremely likely. We don’t know anything about second preferences yet, but the consensus seems to be that the gap on first prefs will be too large to be crossed using second prefs, especially considering the BNP are polling relatively well on first prefs and we all know where their second ones are likely to go…

22:31

More results: BBC London TV news says Labour’s held Lewisham and Greenwich, and the Conservatives have held West Central. I assume results will soon appear on one or all of the sites linked above.

22:37

Latest numbers nabbed from Guardian liveblog (and I think they’re just nabbing them off rolling news channels!):

7 of 14 constituencies declared.
FIRST PREFERENCE VOTES:
Boris Johnson: 46%
Ken Livingstone: 40%
Brian Paddick: 9%

22:52

Doug’s asked about how the BNP is polling. I don’t think we have list votes available yet, but here’s the mayoral 1st prefs I could find:
Bexley and Bromley: 8,950 4.41%
City and East: 10,214 5.45%
North East: 3,776 1.90%
There’s been more mayoral results coming in on the radio but again I can’t find them in print anywhere and can’t type fast enough to catch the figures accurately.

23:01

BBC London 94.9 and Sky say 10 of 14 constituencies are done. I’m getting seriously fed up of having no reliable written source of results or figures - anyone got any ideas? The latest figures are 43% Boris, 39% Ken, 10% Brian on 1st prefs, but I have no idea what that means because I don’t know which constituencies are covered and so whether we have more Conservative or Labour ones yet to declare.

23:07

Ah, here we go, the radio says that the 4 left to declare are expected to all be Boris, so looks like we are doomed. Good news is that slowpoke Barnet and Camden has finished counting and is just going through verification, so we should be put out of our misery fairly soon. I’m suffering a bit of brain fatigue (cue Boris supporters saying I always have, I just didn’t know it before) so have forgotten the other bit of news I was going to pass on here. I’m sure it’ll come back as soon as I publish this update.

23:17 

Ealing and Haringey has stayed Conservative, as has Croydon and Sutton, as has Merton and Wandsworth. I *think* this means all the constituencies are in, so a mayoral result should come very soon. Current assembly list calculations being done on the hoof by Kellner of YouGov and announced on BBC radio look like the Conservatives will pick up top-up seats so Boris won’t need a coalition, and it’s looking very possible that the BNP will pick up a seat too. Looks very likely that One London is out.

23:23

The mayoral results are now being aggregated to find out if Boris has won on first prefs. If he has, expect a result extremely soon. If not, expect one fairly soon.

Whatever happens, at least we can soon get some sleep.

23:30

Doug: sorry for not being clear - it looks like One London is out and won’t be replaced by UKIPs either, which leaves room for other top-ups.

The constituency assembly seats have been confirmed as 8 Conservative, 6 Labour.

Kellner of YouGov is repeating his prediction: Boris leading but not with over 50%. Roughly half of minority 2nd prefs wasted, the rest splitting fairly evenly between Boris and Ken, so not enough to close the gap. YouGov were right last time, and it looks like we were wrong to pooh-pooh their polling this time. Time will tell of course, but that’s rapidly running out!

23:52

Tessa Jowell: “Everyone in the Labour team is preparing themselves for the worst.” (on BBC London 94.9) Result should come in approx 5 minutes. She sounds dreadful.

23:58
After 2nd prefs, Boris wins with 1168738 votes vs 1028966 for Ken - majority of 139772.

Thanks for trying, Boris-stoppers.

01:03

Bet you thought I’d gone, didn’t you? Well, I’m still here, not-so-patiently waiting for the list results. Couldn’t help but update here to say that Boris just said in a BBC News interview that we were welcome to ‘kick him out with gusto’ in four years. What a kind offer!

The Tory Troll earlier posted a summing-up at the end of a 50-post campaign against Boris, which has been one of the best-researched and most strident on the web.

Here at the Stop Boris campaign, we have also been blogging for some time now, as a way of spreading the word about why we need to vote against Boris Johnson today.

Our campaign started in July last year, when it was first announced that Boris Johnson was going to put himself forward for the Conservative Mayoral candidacy. While most people dismissed him as a joke, it was clear to us that in modern politics, in a personality-driven campaign, there was a very real threat that Boris could be elected.

The Stop Boris group on Facebook was set up, and its Posted Items and Wall remained the focus of the campaign until March this year, when the idea of stepping things up with campaign posters first dawned.

Somewhere to host the posters was needed, and before we knew it we’d had the StopBoris.org domain and a nice chunk of web space donated to us, so it seemed rude not to set up a web site too.

Mrs. Stop Boris suggested she should create an accompanying application for Facebook users, which she did with aplomb, and tonight sees its user base on the verge of hitting 1,000.

A static web site proved, within just a few days of launch, inadequate for tracking a fast-moving campaign, rich in developments and arguments against Boris, so that’s where the Stop Boris blog came in, and it’s on researching and writing for this I’ve spent nearly every free moment for the past six weeks.

So I’m now able to look back over the 183 posts prior to this one that I’ve written on this blog, and bring you a summary of the compelling case against electing the woefully unsuitable Boris Johnson as Mayor of London, divided into 15 headings which seemed vaguely appropriate at the time…

Some links to posts are in bold/larger type, indicating some sort of relative importance in their subject area. I don’t pretend it’s been done in a scientific way, though.

The people who know Boris know he’s completely inappropriate to be Mayor

Of course, only those who aren’t desperate to get him elected are admitting it publicly. Even plenty of people who are in or support his own party are worried about the damage he’ll do to the Conservative brand if he becomes the most powerful Tory politician in Britain.

• Portillo squirms - are other Conservatives worried too?
• Cameron starts the damage limitation
• Manchurian Boris
• Boris ‘underwhelming and nervous’
• Monsieur de Parris
• Simon Heffer wants to stop Boris too!
• Tories’ enemy’s enemy is also their enemy

He holds offensive views that make him unsuitable to lead a diverse city

For years he filled his writing with outrageous statements, many of which he has refused to apologise for. Even when he has said sorry for things, it’s been a grudging apology riddled with caveats. Issues include homophobia and pandering to racists. No wonder the BNP have called on their voters to give him their second preferences.

• Three men and a dog
• More evidence of Boris’s cluelessness
• In the Stop Boris inbox today…
• Gay Shame poster
• BNP say vote Boris
• More on the BNP recommendation
• A bit of Jewish empathy
• The Voice speaks
• The problem is Islam
• Boris can’t be "out-ethnic"ed by an Asian
• Stonewall hustings
• More on today’s Stonewall hustings
• Boris’s "big idea"
• Fruity gossip
• Littlejohn backs Boris
• A bit of class

His flagship policy is a complete and utter mess

The main policy associated with Boris for many months was his plan to replace bendy-buses with a "new Routemaster". It’s been discredited on so many grounds it’s extraordinary he’s still persisting with it.

• Bendy bus-lovers of the city, unite
• The bendy-bus - no, Routemaster - menace
• The last word on Boris’s bus black hole?
• Bashing Boris on buses
• Boris’s bus idiocy, part 99999
• Boris’s routemaster plan “non-starter”

He is by far the weakest candidate on tackling crime; his Mayoralty will see more deaths

He’s the only main candidate with no pledged target on cutting crime (he just whips up fear about it without being able to tackle it), and his Freudian slip shows this is because he knows his planned budget cuts will mean they can’t cut crime at all.

And while crime may well rise under Boris, so will pedestrian deaths on the roads as he reverse the progress that has been made in making London more pedestrian-friendly over the past few years.

• Some deaths are more equal than others
• ITV London’s Mayoral debate

He is atrocious on the environment

There’s a general consensus among environmentalists that Boris, a climate change denier and anti-Kyoto campaigner, would be a disaster on green issues the world over.

• Boris’s environmental pledge: plant far fewer trees
• Boris’s next enviro-pledge: encourage more waste and energy use
• Jonathon Porritt
• Boris “stuck in the 80s” on the environment
• The whole world in our hands

His entire campaign has been fake and micromanaged by Lynton Crosby, and he has never focused on the issues

He just knows a few focus-group tested lines but has no substance behind any of the sentences he’s learnt and certainly has no concrete policies to back them up. When asked about his own policies he instead turns everything into a tenuously linked and generally unfounded attack against Ken Livingstone.

• Don’t mention the issues
• Logic problem
• Surreal Metronet coverage
• Serious business
• Gaffophobia in action
• Any questions? Tough, Boris won’t be answering them
• What a difference abstaining makes
• Manchurian Boris
• Boris’s own TV fakery scandal
• Divide – and conquer?
• Boris shamed out of ‘under the radar’ strategy?
• Boris turned up to something!
• The gaffophobia issue arrives in the national media!
• Time Out hustings
• ‘Bottler Boris’ strikes again
• Nannied state
• Boris’s Party Election Broadcast - a review
• Boris on PM
• Boris’s "big idea"
• The return of gaffophobia!
• Boris the puppet
• Irrelevant question time
• The astroturfing continues
• Boris on PM - transcript
• Still running scared
• Today? I’ll get back to you tomorrow
• Sky News debate
• The main candidates’ last TV appearance
• "Boris isn’t wearing any clothes"
• A reason to vote for Boris

Most of his policies are the stuff of cloud cuckoo land

He promises a no-strike deal with the RMT union. The RMT say they would never, ever, ever sign such a deal. It’s almost certain that they will go on strike if he tries to impose one, in fact. And that’s just one of his policies: the majority of the others are also fanciful. Or just rubbish.

• Who’s he gonna call? Union-busters!
• BoozeTube no longer
• Boris’s "big idea"
• On your bike, Boris!
• Evening Standard lays in to Boris’s rubbish manifesto
• Dave Hill on transport policies

He can’t be taken seriously

He’s built his entire career on being a buffoon, an idiot, a fool, a clown. He simply can’t be taken seriously. Imagine him trying to address the city after a terrorist attack? "How many are dead? Oh, cripes!"

• Business leaders: vote with your heads
• Boris, terror attack, Cripes!

He simply isn’t up to the job

He has a track record of incompetence, gaffes, sackings and not being able to take anything seriously or dedicate himself to anything for a prolonged period of time. And he’s barely managed to find anyone who’s willing to join his administration so who knows who’d end up doing any of the real work?

He only entered into this contest for a bit of self-publicity – he never actually wanted the job, but now he’s in too deep…

• It was never meant to go this far…
• Manchurian Boris
• Et tu, Tele?
• Empty canvass
• “Boris to homeless: my house is worth shedloads”
• Newsnight debate
• Newsnight- reaction and video
• If Boris gets in, we ‘can always move to Scotland’
• Charlie Brooker wants to stop Boris too
• Monsieur de Parris
• Boris’s dream team
• Smokescreen
• Boris’s "big idea"
• Won’t anyone join his team?
• Irrelevant question time
• Video: Boris’s incompetence with figures
• Caitlin Moran wants to stop Boris
• Polly Toynbee wants to stop Boris as well
• Dave Hill declares
• Simon Heffer wants to stop Boris too!
• Zoe Williams wants to stop Boris – and so do loads of other people 

People have been underestimating his chances

Many anti-Boris people think he’s just a joke and there’s no serious chance of him getting the job. These people are complacent and might not get out and vote. They need to be alerted to the danger urgently and dragged to the polling stations!

• Ruin your friends’ evenings

He claims to support ‘zero tolerance’ but has broken the law a number of times himself

Evidently he thinks the law only applies to the little people, not VIPs like himself.

• Dangerous driving
• Drugs
• Boris breaks the rules on financial declarations, again
• A bit of class

His campaign is riddled with outright dishonesty

His campaign team have been paying people to comment on blogs such as ours and The Tory Troll’s, pretending to be normal members of the public. Fortunately we exposed them and they then left us largely in peace.

Aside from that, the team have also been spreading various lies and half-truths to scare people into voting for Boris, who has let a number of lies slip himself.

• Hit the road, Zach
• Rewriting history in Epping Forest
• Lies, damned lies and ignoring statistics
• What goes up must come out
• Boris’s answer to Tube crime fears: keep staff shut away from passengers
• The lies just keep coming
• All-day Freedom Pass ‘mad’ claims Team Boris

His media cronies have run half his campaign for him

Certain nasty parts of the media have made no attempt at balanced coverage of this election, instead doing everything they can to discredit the current Mayor and promote Boris, despite there being no case for doing so. Just about all the newspaper leaders endorsing Boris failed to give a single positive reason to vote for him.

The Evening Standard’s own journalistic team even tore Boris’s manifesto to shreds while managing to pick only modest holes in Ken’s, yet their billboards and pages have teemed with anti-Ken, pro-Boris propaganda for months.

• The pot calls the kettle a piccaninny
• Dirty tricks in the Telegraph
• La la la la not listening can’t hear you la la la la
• Vendetta
• Tribune
• Evening Standard web poll
• Don’t let it be the Sun wot wins it
• ‘Interesting’ times at the Evening Standard
• How the media works
• Lack of gaffes ≠ statesmanlike competence
• Weak leadership
• Sunday leaders
• Dave Hill on some of those leaders
• Link to Is this rubbish ‘the big one’ Gilligan was saving up?
• More on sub-Standard accounting

He doesn’t care about ordinary Londoners

He has no real roots here and is completely out of touch with the concerns and lives of everyday Londoners.

• Is Boris overplaying his London credentials?
• Those strong London credentials come to the fore again
• A change for the better off
• A bit of class

Campaign videos

Sometimes 25 pictures a second are worth 25,000 words a second, or something.

• 3am eternal
• Bremner, Bird and Fortune
• Stop Boris now on YouTube
• A leader, not a joker
• Not for the easily offended
• There’s a (slightly) less offensive video too!
• All at sea in the Stop Boris campaign song
• Newsnight Mayoral debate, children’s edition
• Boris criticises Brian’s record – because, er, um…
• The return of gaffophobia!
• Back this?
• London Election Cinema contest
• Another song/video
• Video: Boris’s incompetence with figures
• Return of the d***head

Campaign posters

They still hold true, seven weeks on from creating them.

How to stop Boris

So, all that said, here’s how to vote most effectively to stop Boris.

Good luck, Boris-stoppers.

This election is going to be extremely close. We need to get Boris-stoppers and Boris-sceptics to the polling stations in their millions.

Do whatever you can to encourage people to vote today and we can stop Boris.

A grassroots campaign taking on the might of the Standard and the Sun. Are you up for the fight? Let’s do it.

Unfortunately, as chronicled by The Tory Troll, who was there, the Sky News debate was very disappointing.

It was truly bizarre how they would take some perfectly good questions, and then go to a break and never really address them. They also took a question about crime from – unless a Boris-stopper’s eyes deceive him – the very member of Team Boris who was peddling lies about crime outside the Time Out hustings earlier this month!

It was also seriously frustrating how they kept cutting things off every time the candidates starting interacting and coming alive. I lost count of the number of times Boris would come out with some rubbish and the other candidates would then be cut off without being given a chance to show it up as the nonsense it was. As I said, it was very disappointing.

Fortunately, the LBC radio discussion afterwards, featuring Dave Hill, wasn’t.

Grab it as an MP3 (I’ve even chopped out the ads) and put it on your MP3 player to pass 50 minutes of your commute. I don’t want to oversell it but I did find it a good listen on the bus this afternoon.

I was particularly cheered by a caller (I think he was the only caller they had on actually!) saying that he’d been determined he wouldn’t be voting for Ken at the start, and was a Conservative, but can’t believe how rubbish Boris has been in all the debates so will now be voting to stop him. That’s my kind of caller. (He pops up just before 28 minutes into the file, if you’re keen to hear him.)

So, the debates are over, and indeed as I type this we are now into the last day before the election itself. This is it.

The First Post informs me that Boris Johnson’s minders have twice turned down invitations for him to be interviewed alongside his two main rivals on BBC Radio 4’s Today programme.

The central aim of Johnson’s minder-in-chief, Aussie Lynton Crosby, has been to prevent his candidate from living up the his ‘Blundering Boris’ reputation. He has been more successful than many Tories feared but the maximum point of danger for Johnson has been whenever he appeared before the media on his own.

The contest between Johnson, Labour’s incumbent Livingstone, and the lacklustre Lib-Dem Brian Paddick has received daily news coverage on the BBC and ITV stations in the capital. Boris Johnson has twice been ‘kebabed’ by Neil and Paxman and looked like a rabbit on the headlights on Question Time with David Dimbleby as the assertive ringmaster.

So it’s no surprise that his minder Crosbie [sic] wants to avoid the possibility of gaffes in the last few days of the campaign - hence the desire to avoid Today. Under electoral law and BBC guidelines the programme producers only have to give him the opportunity to take part. If he fails to turn up, they can go ahead and interview his rivals leaving an empty chair and switched-off microphone for Johnson.

A late surge of gaffophobia, eh? Sounds like his team are getting very jittery in these final days. It’s all to play for, Boris-stoppers!

An extremely kind Boris-stopper has gone to the trouble of transcribing the whole of Boris’s interview on PM from just over a week ago.

The whole thing is behind the cut, but here are a few of the best questions:

• Who’s running for Mayor, old Boris or new Boris? The clown or the careful career politician?
• The RMT have called a tube strike today for April 28^th and 29^th. Your policy on strikes with regards to them is a bit of a joke isn’t it?
• Just on localism on smoking if I may, which was the topic in hand. Is localism more important than saving people from cancer and second-hand smoke?

All in all, we can see in this interview how desperate Boris always is to steer things back to his simplistic pre-learned lines on a few limited topic areas, and avoid any serious scrutiny of his policies, to the extent that he quickly becomes exasperated and angry-sounding as soon as anyone dares to question him. There’s plenty of evidence here of his propensity to interrupt, talk over and ignore people at any opportunity, too - congratulations to the transcriber for managing to decipher both sides of such talking clashes!

(more…)

(No, not Boris for PM, like those terrifying Facebook groups.)

I’ve just heard that Boris will be interviewed live by Eddie Mair on Radio 4’s PM at some point in the next hour. Could be worth a listen, or a Listen Again if you’re reading this after it’s been on.

À la ITV London Tonight ‘debate’ yesterday, I’ll give you my thoughts on the interview after it’s been on.

Update: Well, that was rather good. Eddie Mair is a formidable interviewer and gave Boris a real grilling, with which he could barely cope.

He was really on edge throughout, and following his usual tactic of desperately trying to find a way back to one of his ready-prepared lines: in a discussion about his smoking gaffe he somehow tried to steer the conversation onto making the streets safer; and while covering his laughable policy on Tube strikes (which has already been dismissed by the RMT as being the stuff of ‘cloud cuckoo land’), he tried to steer things around to the debatable statistic he keeps chanting about relative mugging likelihoods in London and New York.

I recorded the exchange on DAB, so it’s in MP2 format at the moment, which most computer-based media players should handle, not sure about portable ones though. For a highlight, skip forward to 2:58 and you’ll hear Boris apparently coming rather close to losing his rag with his interrogator over the question of the great Bus Black Hole:

Eddie: At a cost of?

Boris: [finishes his meandering sentence, then] At or about £100m.

Eddie: Why did it take so long to get that figure out of you? Because you’ve said [Boris tries to interrupt – a common feature of this interview] all through the campaign it was £8m.

Boris: [Cuts his interruption short and draws breath, perhaps counting to ten very quickly in his head] I’m sorry – pay attention if you don’t mind!

You have to hear the way he says ‘mind’ - the amount of fury and frustration pent up in it is a sound to behold!

What we hear in this interview is yet more confirmation of the picture we’ve been building up throughout this campaign, of a self-centred man who’s been brought up to think he’s the most important person in any room and anyone questioning that is treated as astonishing or plain rude. Not to mention of course the usual picture of a man incapable of engaging on any given issue but instead hell-bent on returning to the handful of topics he’s learnt his lines on.

He’s a selfish, lightweight buffoon, with unimplementable, poorly thought-out policies, who couldn’t possibly cope for four years as Mayor.

Update: an extremely kind Boris-stopper has gone to the trouble of transcribing this interview!

This morning’s LBC debate wasn’t worth getting up early for.

There were one or two good moments, like the opportunity to remind people that not only would Boris be bumbling and incompetent in a crisis, but also in the immediate aftermath of the 7 July 2005 bombings, he wrote a piece criticising Islam and stating that the Koran was inherently violent.

This reminder sent him off into the most over-the-top display of mock outrage, accusing Ken, who’d quoted him, of "demeaning the office of Mayor" by issuing such a "smear". Once again, Boris claims that it’s a smear to simply read back what he himself did genuinely write.

But overall, this morning’s debate did little to further the Stop Boris cause. That’s not to say Boris performed brilliantly – obviously, that will never happen because he is incapable of doing so – but there were no quotable gaffes or idiotic cock-ups.

Being on the radio presumably helped, as it meant he could read from whatever notes he wanted without having to look away from the viewers’ gazes; undoubtedly what also helped was the fact that the show was hosted by Nick Ferrari, the right-wing talk radio host who was David Cameron’s first choice for Conservative Mayoral candidate, before he worked his way through several other people who rejected him and ended up scraping the bottom of the barrel by begging Boris to take on the job.

Ferrari is a militant motorist who loves taking his 4×4s around London, and has a history of falling out with Ken Livingstone. As such it was pretty hard to see how he would be unbiased, and certainly he didn’t hold back: when the subject of apologising for London’s role in slavery came up. Ken famously did this last year, and Brian Paddick agreed that this was right, he incurred instant strong scorn from Ferrari. Naturally Boris didn’t think an apology was necessary for decades of treating ethnic minorities as a secondary race – hardly a surprise given his own record in the area of race relations – and there was no disputing this from Ferrari.

So basically Boris got an easier ride here than the others, because the show’s outspoken host is just the kind of reactionary that Boris’s campaign is targeting. Indeed, it sounds like Ferrari spends much of his time on air ranting in an effort to bring his listeners around to his right-wing way of thinking about the world, so he might just have created some Boris voters over the years!

Even in a friendly environment, though, Boris still kept interrupting and talking over other people. He just can’t control his manners.

Roll on the next few televised debates, when we shall hopefully once again see the real Boris slipping out from behind the façade!

As well as Newsnight tomorrow, BBC London next week and Question Time the week after, today’s Channel 4 News at Noon was followed by an advert alerting me to the fact that this Thursday, 10 April, will see the three leading candidates participating in their first live radio debate, on LBC 97.3, available on FM and DAB.

The snappily-named LBC 97.3FM Mayoral Debate with Nick Ferrari kicks off at 8am, and the web site includes a form for you to submit your questions for the candidates in advance.

Alternatively, you can call in during the debate on 0845 60 60 973 if you’d like to join in then.

According to the web site:

No-one is better placed to take on the three main candidates than Nick Ferrari. He was David Cameron’s first choice to be the Conservative mayoral candidate, he is also the radio presenter Ken Livingstone tried to get sacked – after Nick gave out Ken’s phone number on-air.

Sounds like a lovely bloke, particularly when you add a bit of Wikipedia into the mix:

Broadcasting Standards Committee complaint

In 2003 The Broadcasting Standards Committee upheld a complaint against Ferrari, finding that his programme’s "active reinforcement of prejudiced views about asylum seekers had exceeded acceptable boundaries for transmission".

Hmm. I might have been on the lookout for right-wing bias in his treatment of the three candidates in the debate, were it not for the fact that it sounds like he’s to the right of all of them.

On 7 March, Ken Livingstone was on the panel of Any Questions? on BBC Radio 4. In the interests of impartiality, host Jonathan Dimbleby introduced him thus:

Ken Livingstone, the Mayor of London and the first of the three leading candidates that we’ve invited on to the programme between now and the election in May when the people of London will decide who should be their next mayor.

Sure enough, last night’s panel included Brian Paddick, the Liberal Democrat candidate, and (as with the show on which Ken appeared) there was plenty of discussion of the London elections and issues pertaining to London.

But then came this surprising announcement from Mr. Dimbleby:

Regular listeners to the programme may remember that Ken Livingstone was on the programme on March the 7th, and of course Brian Paddick is on on this occasion, and inevitably we asked the other leading candidate, Boris Johnson, if he would like to join the programme, and he declined, saying that he didn’t wish to discuss national issues while he was concentrating on the London Mayoral election.

So he’s not just terrified of his incompetence at debating the issues with his rival Mayoral candidates: he can’t even face the thought of discussing any issues with anyone in a live environment where the panellists don’t know what they’ll be asked in advance.

Is it unprecedented for a London Mayoral candidate to turn down a high-profile media appearance in which they can put across their views and policies to a large audience? I certainly can’t remember it happening before.

This betrays a fundamental lack of confidence in both Boris’s policies and abilities, neither of which it seems even his own team think would stand up to proper public scrutiny.

A vote for Boris is a vote for policies and incompetence so indefensible he can’t even be bothered to defend them. Extraordinary.